MAKE ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS LEGAL

To Save the U.S.

CARTELS DANGER

Quoting AI:

Peter Zeihan does argue that providing legal status to undocumented immigrants is the most promising solution to undermining cartel influence and improving U.S. security and economic outcomes. He explains that when undocumented immigrants are forced to remain in the shadows, they are less likely to cooperate with law enforcement, making it easier for gangs and cartels to operate and recruit within these communities.

Zeihan states that by offering pathways to legal status—even if not full citizenship—migrants can become part of the system: they can open bank accounts, report crimes, and work legally, which helps law enforcement shut out cartel activity from American cities6. He criticizes mass deportation and hardline enforcement, arguing these policies create a permanent underclass and increase crime risk, especially in cities where industrial expansion and labor demand are high.

He also references historical examples where regularizing migrants led to better cooperation with law enforcement and societal integration, further reducing incentives for illicit activity. Zeihan’s position is that the “smart play” is to provide legal avenues for migrants, which benefits both economic growth and public safety by weakening the hold of cartels and criminal organizations.

The drug cartels seem to be pretty ruthless, and have considerable networks already in many big cities and even in rural areas in the U.S. The deportations are likely making things worse instead of better, although it seems violent illegal immigrants should either be deported or jailed/rehabilitated.

ECONOMIC DEPRESSION PROSPECTS

Zeihan has been criticizing Trump’s tariffs, warning that they’re likely to lead to shortages and inflation. Now there’s Trump’s damn war with Iran on top of that, which Scott Ritter suggests could well lead to disruption of petroleum exports to Europe. AI says diesel shortage is possible in the U.S. as follows.

A war with Iran could indeed result in diesel shortages in the U.S., primarily due to disruptions in global oil and refined product flows from the Middle East. Here’s how:

• The Strait of Hormuz is a critical chokepoint for global oil and refined product exports, including diesel. About 20% of the world’s crude oil and a significant share of refined products pass through this route2,8. If a conflict with Iran leads to its closure or disruption, it would severely impact global supply.

• The Middle East is a major exporter of diesel and other distillate fuels. Any conflict that limits exports from the region—whether through direct attacks, blockades, or shipping disruptions—would tighten global diesel supply2,3,4.

• U.S. diesel inventories are already below the five-year average, making the market particularly sensitive to supply shocks4. Even before any direct supply loss, the anticipation of conflict has already driven up diesel futures and spot prices in the U.S. more sharply than crude or gasoline1,4,5.

• Analysts warn that the diesel market is especially exposed to Middle East conflict because many refineries in the region produce the heavy-sour crude grades best suited for diesel production4. Disruptions would disproportionately affect diesel availability.

• In previous flare-ups, price spikes have often been short-lived unless actual supply is cut off. However, a full-scale war or significant, sustained disruption at key export facilities could lead to real shortages and much higher prices6,8.

If diesel prices go up much, prices of most everything are likely to go up quite a bit as well. So the preppers might be good to listen to now.

BECOMING A THIRD WORLD COUNTRY

The major media and the education system are dividing the people of the U.S. against each other increasingly, I think. Some people speculate that there could be another civil war. Here’s another AI comment.

Prospects for Civil War in the U.S. Due to Media, Politicians, War with Iran, and Cartel Influence

Rising Concerns and Division
A significant portion of Americans believe the risk of civil war is real: a recent poll found that 40% of respondents think a civil war is either very or somewhat likely within the next decade, with political division and unrest cited as major drivers1. Media and politicians are seen as amplifying these divisions, with partisan outlets and social media algorithms reinforcing biases and fueling hostility between groups5.

Role of Media and Political Incitement
Analysts agree that media polarization and misinformation have deepened divides, creating echo chambers and intensifying resentment. Politicians, through inflammatory rhetoric and policy disputes, further exacerbate these tensions, making compromise and trust in institutions more difficult5,4.

Potential Influence of War with Iran
A war with Iran could heighten domestic instability by increasing economic stress (e.g., fuel shortages, inflation), straining military and emergency resources, and providing a pretext for political factions to blame each other for national security failures. Foreign adversaries {and the deep state?} could exploit these divisions through cyberattacks, propaganda, and covert support to extremist groups, further destabilizing the situation3,8.

Impact of Drug Cartel Activity
While drug cartels are a serious concern, there is no mainstream analysis suggesting they alone could trigger civil war. However, cartel violence, combined with perceived government inaction or complicity, could contribute to a sense of lawlessness and erode public trust, especially in border regions, adding to the overall sense of crisis3,5.

What Would Civil Conflict Look Like?
Experts suggest that, if civil conflict were to erupt, it would not resemble the traditional state-vs-state war of the 1860s. Instead, it would likely be a patchwork of localized, urban-rural clashes, with shifting allegiances among police, National Guard, and militias. Guerrilla tactics, sabotage, and information warfare would dominate, and millions could be displaced internally3,5. Foreign interference would likely intensify the chaos3.

I asked AI about solutions, but it sounded boring, like politics or like civics, so I’ll just say, let’s hope for the best and prepare for the worst, or maybe the second worst. The worst is if everyone and the biosphere are killed and only one or a few of us survive, but are crippled and can’t walk. So I don’t think that’s worth preparing for. This is better: